Evaluating managerial pressure

I'm considering the context around Ten Hag and Guardiola, especially if 2025 sees a managerial change, but that’s uncertain. I want to clarify limitations and focus on historical trends leading up to October 2024. I'll provide data on the City vs United record since 2020, like goal margins and significant wins. I also need to assess managers under pressure, like Ten Hag's performance in 2023-24, and maybe touch on past sackings of Pellegrini or Moyes. Let’s gather relevant data from the last 10 derbies!Analyzing recent derbies

I’m looking at the recent derby results: starting from the 2021-22 season, I note the scores, like City winning 2-0 at Old Trafford in November 2021, all the way to the FA Cup final in May 2024, where United claimed a 2-1 win. It’s interesting to see that while there have been some significant victories, many recent matches were closely contested with 1-2 goal margins. City's overall goals in league encounters against United stand at 18 versus 10. Let’s delve deeper into these statistics!Computing derby statistics

I want to analyze the recent derby scores: I see there's a range of results, including City winning 2-0, 4-1, 6-3, alongside United’s wins of 2-1 (both in league and FA Cup). Overall, City has 6 wins and United 2, making 8 matches total. Notably, 37.5% had a margin of 3 or more goals. I also want to examine expected goals (xG) from matches, like a 3-1 score with xG around 2.7 for City. It's essential to consider factors like United's defense and City's risk-averse style to understand these dynamics better.Considering managerial pressure in Manchester derby

I'm exploring whether the Manchester derby could lead to managerial changes, drawing on past examples like Moyes and Solskjær. The analysis includes data from their last eight matches from 2021 to 2024, where City won 6 and United 2, with only 3 games seeing a margin of 3 or more goals. Additionally, I want to factor in potential tactical adjustments, risks from red cards or penalties, and the importance of goals scored. It seems that high-scoring victories aren't likely, with tighter margins being more realistic.Analyzing derby expectations

I think it's important to note that high-margin victories over strong teams are rare. In derby matches, the pace tightens, with more fouls and transitions that can decide the outcome, lowering the likelihood of big scorelines. If United can maintain control in midfield and avoid early goals or corner pitfalls, the score may remain close. City typically starts as favorites, but predictions lean toward margins like 2-0 or 2-1, while anything over 3-0 may require specific circumstances. Additionally, factors like injuries and recent performance stats are crucial to refine predictions before the match.